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Alex McRae The Pirates called up 26-year-old starter Alex McRae back in late May to help provide some bullpen depth but that didn’t last long. He was sent back down on June 10 and recalled again on July 25. With Jordan Lyles being shipped to Milwaukee today (July 29), the Pirates will turn to McRae once again in what can be categorized as an emergency start. The 6'2", 220-pound McRae appeared in two games for the Pirates last year, putting up ugly numbers in that very sh...ort sample. He hasn't done a lot better at Triple-A this year, though his control did come down to 3.0 (BB’s/9) from 3.8 last year at Indianapolis. He has a career WHIP of 1.43 with skills that reflect it. He's got four pitches, and has been a career starter, but he hasn't been able to dominate with those pitches, so a reliever role is likely in his future if he is ever going to succeed in the majors. He has a mid-90s fastball, a decent mid-80s slider, with a sub-par curve and changeup. He doesn't show command, thus, batters wait for his fastball. Not a high ceiling for him at this stage and let’s not forget that he’s 26 and running out of time. At Indianapolis this year, McRae was tagged for 96 hits in 89 innings for a BAA of .278 while striking out 76 batters and walking 27. He had an ERA/xERA split of 4.96/5.23 in those aforementioned innings for Triple-A Indianapolis. It would appear that after losing eight games in a row, the Pirates have decided that they are not going to make a run and this is their first sign of throwing in the towel. Alex McRae does not come recommended here.
The Preakness Improbable is the morning-line favorite based on the strength of his fifth-place finish in the Kentucky Derby, where he was only beaten 3-lengths as the favorite, but he also had every shot at winning that race and seemed to hang late for the second time in a row. In his race previous to the Kentucky Derby, the Arkansas Derby-G1, he had every shot at beating Omaha Beach and couldn’t get by that one. He’s a beatable favorite. Improbable’s trainer Bob Baffert ha...s won the Preakness seven times. He’s tied with R. W. Walden for most victories in this race, so he knows how to win it but he also said that the secret to winning the Preakness was bringing the best horse. In this case, we don’t think he has the best horse. This year’s Kentucky Derby was probably tougher than it looked, but Improbable still seemed to lack a late punch, and he might not even want to run the mile and three-sixteenths of the Preakness. He does, however, get a rider switch from Irad Ortiz Jr. to Mike Smith, who won the Preakness and the Triple Crown last year aboard Justify. That also has his stock higher than it should be. Ortiz moves back to Bourbon War for the Preakness, and he’ll need to find the race he ran in the Fountain of Youth Stakes-G2, finishing a strong second, beaten three-quarters of a length by Kentucky Derby third-place (placed second) finisher Code of Honor. Bourbon War came back to run a lackluster fourth behind Maximum Security after letting Maximum Security set a snail’s pace under no pressure, but Code of Honor didn’t fare much better in the same race. Bourbon War fits with this bunch if he wants to run this far. He also gets blinkers on, which should have him closer to the leaders than usual. However, the most notable rider switch in this year’s Preakness belongs to maiden Bodexpress, who gets a switch from Chris Landeros to Hall of Famer John Velazquez after finishing a troubled 14th in the Kentucky Derby. He was about done by the time he felt the aftereffects of the drifting out Maximum Security in the Derby, but he did finish second to that one in the Florida Derby-G1 after tracking a slow pace. He also defeated both Bourbon War and Code of Honor in the Florida Derby. Bodexpress might be this year’s Preakness sleeper on the rider switch and at odds of 22-1 or thereabouts, he’s worth a bet and also worth throwing into some exotics.