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Chris Partridge 10.11.2020

...TEDDY ACCELERATING NORTHWARD AWAY FROM BERMUDA... *** A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for the south coast of Nova Scotia from Digby to Meat Cove. Tropi...cal storm conditions are expected to begin in the warning area by Tuesday afternoon. ***A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for: * Meat Cove to Tidnish * North of Digby to Fort Lawrence * Magdalen Islands * Port aux Basques to Francois Newfoundland Tropical-storm-conditions could begin in the watch areas late Tuesday or early Wednesday. Interests elsewhere in Atlantic Canada should closely monitor the progress of Teddy. Additional watches and/or warnings could be required later tonight or on Tuesday. For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. A dangerous storm surge is expected to produce significant coastal flooding near and to the east of where the center makes landfall in Nova Scotia. Near the coast, the surge will be accompanied by very large and destructive waves. Large swells generated by Teddy are affecting Bermuda, the Lesser Antilles, the Greater Antilles, the Bahamas, the east coast of the United States, and Atlantic Canada. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. From Tuesday through Thursday, Teddy is expected to produce rainfall accumulations of 2 to 4 inches (50 to 100 mm) with isolated totals of 6 inches (150 mm) across sections of Atlantic Canada. At 8 p.m. AST, the center of Hurricane Teddy was located about 250 miles (400 km) northeast of Bermuda and about 700 miles (1130 km) south of Halifax, Nova Scotia. Teddy is moving toward the north near 26 mph (43 km/h), and this motion is expected tonight followed by a turn to the north-northwest on Tuesday. Teddy should turn to the north-northeast and move over eastern Nova Scotia on Wednesday then over the Gulf of St. Lawrence late Wednesday into Thursday. Maximum sustained winds are near 90 mph (150 km/h) with higher gusts - a category 1 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. Teddy is a large hurricane. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 80 miles (130 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 275 miles (445 km). Teddy is expected to gain some strength overnight, but weaken steadily by Wednesday and become a strong post-tropical cyclone before reaching Nova Scotia. The next complete advisory will be issued by NHC at 11 p.m. AST - www.hurricanes.gov

Chris Partridge 04.11.2020

Here is the latest trajectory of hurricane Teddy tracking towards Atlantic Canada. It looks to still be a hurricane just offshore of Nova Scotia on Tuesday before turning into a post tropical storm Wednesday. I’ve attached the tropical cyclone statement issued by the Canadian Hurricane Centre. Tropical cyclone information statement for:... Newfoundland and Labrador: Burgeo - Ramea Burin Peninsula Channel-Port aux Basques and vicinity Connaigre Nova Scotia Prince Edward Island Québec - south: Îles-de-la-Madeleine For Hurricane Teddy. The next information statement will be issued by 3:00 p.m. ADT. Hurricane Teddy poised to impact Atlantic Canada Tuesday and Wednesday. Hurricane Teddy will likely reach offshore waters south of Nova Scotia on Tuesday as a hurricane, and impact Atlantic Canada and the Gulf of St. Lawrence region in the Tuesday to Wednesday timeframe as a strong post-tropical storm. Teddy is currently a category three system over the Tropical Atlantic well southeast of Bermuda. it will slowly move up during the next two days passing east of Bermuda on Monday. This is when it will begin to accelerate towards Nova Scotia. When it reaches Canadian waters south of the Maritimes it will be a category two hurricane, but is expected to be a very dangerous tropical storm as it moves though our region. Possible impacts: A. Public Rainfall could be significant, especially north and west of Teddy's track. At this point, the highest rainfall amounts are likely for the southern Maritimes and the south coast of Newfoundland. Most regions will see some tropical storm force winds, and south of the forecast track winds may reach hurricane force. Wind impacts may be enhanced by foliage on the trees, resulting in power outages. Every effort should be made to secure temporary structures. B. Marine As hurricane Teddy moves into our waters, there is a reasonable chance of hurricane force winds near and south of the track, mainly over the southern Atlantic forecast waters. there will also be large waves, again mainly over southern waters. C. Surge/Waves Large waves will build over southern marine waters Tuesday, they will break higher along the Nova Scotia and southern Newfoundland coastline. There will also be rough and pounding surf, especially for the Atlantic coast of Nova Scotia and south coast of Newfoundland. Storm surge is possible, mainly for parts of Nova Scotia, Prince Edward Island, Magdalen Islands and Newfoundland, but it is too early to be specific about which portions of the coastline may be affected. Forecaster(s): Couturier. Please continue to monitor alerts issued by the Canadian Hurricane Centre and forecasts issued by Environment Canada.

Chris Partridge 24.10.2020

Hurricane Teddy is tracking towards Atlantic Canada for early next week. At this point it looks to be only a post tropical storm when it makes landfall. Still a few days to keep an eye on things and hopefully it remains a tropical storm and not a hurricane.

Chris Partridge 04.10.2020

Continuing to monitor Hurricane #Teddy in the Atlantic Basin- Impacts to Atlantic Canada- Including Nova Scotia & New Brunswick becoming likely early next week. Here is a visualization using an iPad Pro which shows the evolution since this morning. #NSStorm #NBStorm